Re: Hold on one minute!

(Ectuohy)
"It's nice to see teams other than
Maryland-CP and Michigan in tournament finals, and this can
only happen with single-elimination."
-
This is
PB's market. Translation into english:
If we don't
have single-elim, Md and Mich will win. (by inference
#1 Chicago and #2 Illinois as well) Since we don't
want that, we will devise a system that prevents these
teams from winning. Single-elim is the only mechanism
to do so. Therefore it must be used.
--
We
call this a bias.

That comment above, though
not by Penn indicates why people defend single
elimination.

It also explains why people are willing to turn a
blind eye to problematic nature of the PB9 outcome
despite imbrobability so extreme as to preclude chance as
a factor. Single-Elim, through the instrument of
the "upset special" packet remain the primary
cause.

In this case, the burden of proving a statistical
near-impossiblity lies upon the Penn Staff. Let them show how such
a result is even *possible* within a 10% level of
confidence without the SE and Packet Factor. (notice that I
said 10%, and not 90%. That is how improbably the
results are.)

They have plenty of data to mine
from their tournament. Mr. O'Neal's example is flawed
in the extreme as he provides no data set from which
to draw any conclusions or do any real analysis
within any acceptable level of
confidence.

Perhaps I am rash to accuse Penn of "consiring" against
these top 4 teams to create the "upsets" their customer
base so desperately craves. Maybe Penn simply lacks
editorial skill, tournament experience, and judgement so
severely that they cannot competently run a playoff. And
perhaps it was accidental that these extremely unlikely
events just happened to occur in the first playoff
round, rahter than the round robin, where the effects
could be conveniently maximized, and while the upset
craving public could be blind to the situation because
they weren't playing.

Interestingly, no one
else has mentioned that the ETC round clearly failed
to meet tournament guidelines. Ultimately, this is
because our observers want to see an upset so badly that
they don't much care how it happens.

Next year,
we can ensure the requisite quota of upsets by
breaking buzzer fingers. That way those bottom bracket
teams can learn to aspire to be 2nd or 3rd. They can be
good enough to make and stay in the playoffs, but not
so good as to be Player-Hated out of
them.

"In mediocrity, there is company"

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