Beating Dead Horses

Do forgive me for further commenting on a
primarily non-quizbowl topic (as I usually avoid posting
altogether except to change the topic BACK to quizbowl
things), but it's rare that something actually happens in
the place where I live, out on the glans of Florida.
Something of national political importance that is --
usually South Florida's new exports are more along the
lines of the Kathy Willets nymphomania defense or the
crash of "Mystery Pilot" Thomas Root.

Frankly, I
think this election stuff has been a lot of fun! This
was (as a matter of opinion) about as uninteresting
as a close presidential race could get, up until
Tuesday. The aftermath has also been a great study in
logical fallacies. The 19,000 double-punched ballots were
pretty well addressed by Nathan a few messages back
(notably, there's no absolute indication that most of those
double-votes are the result of the specific ballot design).
The claim that Buchanan got only an "insignificant"
total of 0.79% in the county is a neat misuse of
statistics. The argument that Buchanan received 3,000 votes
in a '96 primary in Palm Beach is a red herring. The
argument that the ballot was developed by a Democrat is ad
hominem, as are most of the other little spins and twists.
And all this in my back yard! Yippee!

For
those wondering about the actual strength of the
Buchanan following in Palm Beach, it's probably a stronger
presence than in Broward or Dade, but nowhere near as
strong as in the areas around Tampa or in the Panhandle.
The best indicator of a disproportionately high
Buchanan vote in Palm Beach is not the comparison with
Broward or Dade, but with counties like Hillsborough or
Pinellas. Those are huge counties which are the closest
thing Buchanan has to a large stronghold in Florida,
and yet Buchanan received several times more votes in
Palm Beach than in either of those counties. Those
proportions of conservative votes are not representative of
past trends, nor is there any evidence (either solid
or anecdotal) to suggest that recent demographic
shifts would have fostered a new Buchanan movement in
Palm Beach county (probably the opposite, if
anything). I don't think there's really much question that
the Buchanan vote in Palm Beach is a significant
aberration which is rooted in the ballot structure, not in
an enclave of Buchanan supporters somewhere in the
county.
 ... to be continued in a moment ...

--Raj
Dhuwalia, having newly discovered that there's a limit on
the allowed length of these messages

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