NAQT Bids (3 of 3)

To look at the Mid-Atlantic that is at issue
here... based on our ranking system, Penn's stats
happened to have made them the 7th team earning an
invitation after all of the automatics had been awarded.
Maryland placed 12 spots lower (statistically, following
our method), despite being one game better in the
won-loss column. (Did either team ever play a game that
could have been decided by single tossup going the
other way? Then that was the only difference between
the teams in wins and losses; Penn however scored
1015 more points over the course of the full 13 game
schedule.)

Now if we had a rule saying that invitations must
follow order of finish, and therefore Maryland must be
invited before Penn, what do we do vis a vis the eleven
teams from other tournaments ranking between the two in
our statistical rankings? You agree that statistical
comparisons are necessary to compare across regions. Should
we bump up Maryland ahead of eleven teams that rank
higher by statistical comparisons to place them
immediately ahead of Penn, which _does_ rank higher by
statistical comparisons than those eleven teams? Or do we
drop Penn 13 spots in the rankings so that they remain
behind Maryland, the all-important consideration? You
see the problem. I know teams get angry when a team
finishing below them is ranked higher, but I hope you can
honestly see the reasons that that happens under the
comparative system we have chosen. We do not do the complex
statistical comparisons and careful adjustments for strength
of schedule out of a love of complexity, but because
we are trying to be absolutely as fair as possible
in comparing all teams SCT performances, and in
reducing the effects of teams playing in tournaments of
differing field strength.

This is nothing new; teams
know going into NAQT SCTs that--unless they are title
winners--what is going to be crucial to rankings for ICT
invitation purposes is statistical comparisons of teams'
point-scoring across entire tournaments.

Eric H., for
NAQT

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