Re: Important Question

First comment: folks, let's not spend all our
time ripping a new one for those who post messages we
don't care for. The person who posted this apologized
for the need they perceived for anonymity.


Now, as to the question: stats like that *would* raise
my eyebrows a bit. I'd be inclined to check a few
other stats before I made any assumptions. If
qbcardinalsin would be so kind as to check the 56questions
below and pass along his/her findings, I think I could
offer a better take on this all.

 Question #1:
was there a corresponding jump in the total tossups
scored by the team in question? Or did Mystery Scorer
just cut into the stats of his/her teammates?


Question #2: did Mystery Scorer's team also have a
substantially better record?

 Question #3: did Mystery
Scorer's team show a higher bonus conversion in those
tournaments as well? After all, if somehow you had access to
the tossups, it seems likely you'd have access to the
boni too.

 Question #4: did other teams'
performance in tossups per game fluctuate significantly
between the same tournaments?

 Question #5: where
were the questions originated? There is certainly a
good chance that familiarity with a particular
editor's style and pet subjects would give someone a home
field advantage. But there are other possibilities,
too. Back in the day, my stats jumped noticeably any
time there was a round (or in one case entire
tournament) written by Ben Lea. Ben and I are close friends
now, but when this first started happening, I barely
knew the guy -- we just had very similar interests
(and wound up getting the same degrees both as
undergrads and grad students at different schools.) Another
possibility is that the question writer/editor happened to
lean heavily on one or more reference works Mystery
Player used as study material.

 And most
importantly, Question #6: what were the relative levels of
alcohol consumption for Mystery Player before each
tournament?

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