It's possible I just don't understand the statistical analysis of it, but why is points per toss-up heard any better an indicator of how individual players perform on teams than is PPG? The way I understand it, if one very good player plays with no support, will not his/her stats be even more inflated? For example, if someone averages 50 PPG on a team that hears 20 toss-ups per game, in a ten-game tournament, that person will average 2.5 PPTH, but if someone averages 50 PPG on a team that hears 25 toss-ups per game in that same tourney, that person will earn only 2 PPTH. So a standout player on a mediocre team will hear fewer toss-ups than one on an excellent team, because his/her teammates don't contribute as much. Better teams get toss-ups faster and they are more likely to get the 30 on a 30-20-10 bonus (or even answer bonus parts quicker) -- thus contributing to more toss-ups heard. And I do understand that it can work the other way -- two poor teams can also hear more toss-ups because they won't earn as many bonuses -- but as a whole, in the matches I moderated at Penn Bowl yesterday, I read more toss-ups in matched involving higher-ranked teams. So after all that, my point is: some version of Points Created probably provides a better indication of an individual's toss-up strength than either PPG or PPTH. -Adam
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