At the risk of being grossly incorrect, I'll imitate Joe Lunardi and try to project the 36 teams that will be chosen for NAQT ICT Division I. Note that I have zero connection to NAQT, and these projections really mean nothing -- of course NAQT will use their formulae to make the selections. Assumptions: Undergrad/D2 champion Rochester B will play D2, as will SCT hosts Carnegie Mellon and Tennessee-Chattanooga. OTOH, I believe FCCJ, South Florida, and WUSTL will play D1. I'm sure I'm wrong on a couple of these, which would change the projections. But anyway, assuming 36 teams make it, here goes: AUTOMATICS: SCT Winners (10): Rochester A, Virginia A, Michigan A, Florida, Chicago A, Harvard, Texas A&M A, Florida Atlantic, Berkeley A, Washington (Seattle) SCT Undergrad Champs (8): Princeton A, Michigan B, Emory A, Carleton A, Simon Fraser A, Arkansas, FCCJ, Berkeley B SCT British Champion (1): likely Oxford? SCT Hosts (6): Cornell, Swarthmore, WUSTL, Dartmouth, Texas-Austin, South Florida TOTAL AUTOMATICS (25) Leaving 11 at-large spots. To which IMHO the following nine teams are locks, based on SCT performance: Maryland A, Pitt A, Kentucky A, Illinois A, Minnesota, MIT, Yale A, Caltech A, Stanford A That leaves two spots, and here are my five "bubble team" contenders: Princeton B, Case Western A, Florida State A, Georgia A, Illinois B I believe Princeton B, with their averages, has just about made it in (they were quite impressive in the Mid-Atlantic, which was relatively strong, especially at the top). To me that leaves the last spot as a battle between Case Western Reserve and Florida State. Florida State averaged more, but Case played in an ass-hard region. This is a tough one, but based on FSU's excellent power #s, I'd give it to them, with CWRU as top alternate, and Georgia and Illinois B close behind. In any case, good luck to all the teams involved! -Adam Fine
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.4.0: Sat 12 Feb 2022 12:30:45 AM EST EST