ACF bonus conversion rough statistics

The following table lists the sum of bonus conversions for the first 
n places in each bracket, where n goes from 1 to 9:

	Xenophon	Yokomitsu	Zeromski
1	18.18		 15.90		 16.62
2	33.73		 31.53		 32.70
3	44.04		 44.71		 46.90
4	53.74		 55.94		 63.09
5	63.26		 65.17		 77.80
6	74.76		 75.06		 89.42
7	81.46		 84.44		 96.49
8	87.46		 94.00		102.99
9	91.93		100.25		106.05

Assuming that bonus conversion (by itself) is enough to indicate the 
ability of a team, we can see that: through the first 2 places of 
each bracket, brackets were equal; through the first 4 places, the Z 
bracket was harder. Why? Harvard's bonus conversion was almost 17ppb. 
A strong supporting performance by Chicago A increased the strength 
of the Z bracket even further.

How would we have fixed this? Knowing what we know now (that Virginia 
wasn't bringing Steve Perry), we might have moved Chicago A or 
Harvard or both to other brackets.

However, as they say, that's why we play the games.

I would have liked to have run the 28-team format, but unfortunately 
it simply wasn't within the means we had available (short packets, 
short teams).

ERS

This archive was generated by hypermail 2.4.0: Sat 12 Feb 2022 12:30:46 AM EST EST