(I sent this to qb-chat, but it got lost in cyberspace...) Ok, maybe it has something to do with my last name, but for the last few years I've tried to get my fellow physicists to predict who was going to win the physics Nobel prize (announced Oct. 12th - see <a href=http://www.nobel.se target=new>http://www.nobel.se</a>). This is as good an audience as any to expand the predictions to include all the awards. With my wonderful prognostication skills, I predict that Gunter Grass will win the literature award... :-) Anyone want to join the fray? I'm out of my depth in predicting most of the awards. I'll take a stab though: Physics: the only one I'm qualified to guess on. My prediction is that Wiemann and Cornell from Colorado (sharing probably with Ketterle from MIT) will win for Bose Einstein condensation. They've been leading up to this one for a while. It will probably come, but maybe not this year. Other alternatives: The people who found Neutrino oscillations at Kamiokande (hard to narrow down to 3 people though, as the Nobel committee must); Guth for the inflation model of the Big Bang (probably shared with someone, don't know their names). Peace: No idea... The theme recently has been to look to some recent atrocity that is ending, and pick those that helped end it. Was there anyone who helped in Rwanda, or did it sort of just end through attrition? Economics: They have got to get rid of this prize... Let's see if this year's winners can lose trillions of dollars in a hedge fund too. I predict someone from Harvard or Chicago will win. :-) Physiology or medicine? Chemistry? I can't even guess for these. The chemistry prize seems to be the one that is most variable (from molecular biology (Mullis and Smith) to density functional theory (Kohn)...) Wasting away my Friday afternoon... Rob Knobel
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