Re: Ranking SCT performance

Eric H. wrote:
"Never say that NAQT is not a
company that can be flexible, wants to do right, and can
rectify an error. David's identification of a factor we
had in fact overlooked in evaluating D2 statistics
from the Northeast sectional led us to the inescapable
conclusion that both Dartmouth and Rutgers, who were
exceedingly close to receiving initial invitations, probably
should have done so rather than being relegated to first
and second positions on the D2 waitlist."

This
is a good remedy. However, the fact that this whole
situation arose comes from the fact that NAQT uses
statistical measures to allocate ICT bids rather than placing
in the SCT tournament or even simply won-lost
record. While I sympathise with the difficulties of
ranking teams that play in different sectional
tournaments, against different opponents and sometimes on
different questions; it simply makes no sense to me to use
some arbitrary statistical measure for teams from
within the SAME tournament.

Some teams may have
better bonus conversion, some teams may (for whatever
reason) score lots of points against a certain type of
opponent, some teams may not run up the score against weak
opponents. All of these sorts of things may make one team
look weaker in an amalgam of points per tossup
heard/bonus conversion. But if, within a tournament where two
teams face the same opponents and one team comes out
with more wins, that team should have the higher
ranking, regardless of point totals. Any measure that says
a team that went (say) 5-7 is "better" than a team
that went 7-5 is simply wrong. The problem is not that
the won/lost record is inaccurate in gauging team
strength, but that the statistical gauge is
inaccurate.

Hope you are all enjoying CBI Regionals. Penn State
had to cancel our high school tournament today
because of weather, so I find myself with unexpected (but
appreciated) leisure time.

Rob

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